K

Pskov-led coalition (Attacker)
Total: 183
 * Location: +20
 * Location Bonus: 0
 * Tactical Advantage: +6
 * Nations: Pskov (L), Perm (LV), Chernihiv (LV), Azov (LV), Bukhara (MV), the Tartary (L), Bajkal (MV),  Khiva (MV), Parthia (MV), Poland (L), Romania (L), Bulgaria (LV), Kiyv (LV), Scandinavia (L), Finland (LV), Karelia (LV), Bengal (M) - 47/14 = 3
 * Military Development: 240/44 = 6 +5 (more troops) +10 (won last three wars) = +21
 * Economic Development: 240/40 = +6 +4 (Samarkand, Öresund) +10 (much larger economy) +5 (larger colonial empire) = +19
 * Expansion: 0
 * Infrastructure: 0
 * Motive: +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +5 +3 +3 +3
 * Motive Modifiers: +4 +6
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +18 (55,000,000)
 * Participation: +10
 * Number of Troops: 300,000/50,000 = +6
 * Number of Ships: 250/30 = 8
 * Recent Wars: 0
 * Vassals and Puppets: -2

Russia (Attacker)
Total: 76
 * Location: +25
 * Location Bonus: 0
 * Tactical Advantage: +1
 * Nations: Muscovy (L), Novgorod (LV) = 10/34 = 0 -2/2 = -1
 * Military Development: 20/89 = 0
 * Muscovy
 * Novgorod
 * Volhynia
 * Economic Development: 10-2/69 = 0
 * Safavids: 10
 * Khiva: 0
 * Expansion: 0
 * Infrastructure: +6
 * Motive: +9, +3
 * Motive Modifiers: +6, +4
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +8 (10,000,000)
 * Participation: +10
 * Number of Troops: 100,000/310,000 = 0
 * Recent Wars: 0
 * Vassals and Puppets: 0

Result
0.41312741312*(1-1/(5))=0.33050193049
 * ((183/(76+183))*2)-1 = 0.41312741312

A five year war is obligatory for the overthrowal of the Russian regime. :(

 Discussion 0