Ukraine Resolution

Romanian Tartar Alliance

 * Location: +20
 * Location Bonus = 2
 * Tactical Advantage: +5
 * Nations: Romania (L), Bulgaria (LV), Kiev (LV), Tartary (L), Azov (LV), Perm (LV), Croatia (S), Spain(S), Pskov(S), Hungary (L) = 33/21=1
 * Military Development: 134 +10( no defeats)+10 (Naval Dominance)+5 (Mobilized) -3 (Fewer Troops) =156/95=2
 * Romania: 20
 * Bulgaria:20
 * Kiev:20
 * Tartary:20
 * Azov:20
 * Perm:20
 * Hungary:14
 * Economic Development: 132+5(larger eco) +5 (Larger Colonial Empire) =142/25=6
 * Romania: 20
 * Bulgaria:20
 * Kiev:20
 * Tartary:20
 * Azov:20
 * Perm:20
 * Hungary:12
 * Expansion:
 * Infrastructure: 0
 * Motive: 7.857~8
 * Mods: -3(Mostly Non-Demo) +6(High Morale)
 * Romania:5 (Pre-emptive Strike)
 * Bulgaria:5 (Pre-emptive Strike)
 * Kiev: 7(Hegemony) +3(Economic Gains)
 * Tartary:7(Hegemony) +3(Economic Gains)
 * Azov:5 (Pre-emptive Strike)
 * Perm:5(Pre-emptive Strike)+3(Economic gains)
 * Hungary:6(Re-taking Territory)+3(Economic gains)
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +10
 * Participation: +10
 * Number of Troops: 60,000+80,000+20,000=160,000/300,000=0
 * Recent Wars:
 * Total: 69

P-L-M-N Commonwealth

 * Location: +25
 * Location Bonus: 0
 * Tactical Advantage: +2
 * Nations: Poland-Lithuania (L), Moscow (L), Vologda (LV), Volhynia (LV), Novgorod (L) = 21/ 28=0
 * Military Development: 90 +5( more Troops) =95/156=0
 * Poland-Lithuania:18
 * Moscow:18
 * Vologda:18
 * Volhynia:18
 * Novgorod:18
 * Economic Development: 30 -3(receding econ.) -2 (Smaller econ.) =25/142=0
 * Poland-Lithuania:16-10
 * Moscow:16-10
 * Vologda:16-10
 * Volhynia:16-10
 * Novgorod: 16-10
 * Expansion: 0
 * Infrastructure: 0
 * Motive: 2.4 ~2
 * Mods: -9(unpopular war) -6(low moral)=-15
 * Moscow: 5 (Defending Heartland)
 * Poland-Lithuania: 5 (Defending Territory)
 * Vologda: 5 (Defending Heartland)
 * Volhynia: 9 (Fatal Defending Heartland)
 * Novgorod: 3 (Ally)
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +8
 * Number of Troops: 300,000/160,000=2
 * Recent Wars: -19
 * Leading Vassals:
 * Fronts
 * Total: 25

Result
((68/(68+25)*2)-1=0.4623655913978495 (0.4623655913978495)*(1-1/(2*2))=0.346774193548387125=34.68%

And so a giant falls...

Tell me if you want me to declare war and end Russia for good. Stephanus rex (talk) 15:36, August 6, 2014 (UTC)

Romanian Tartar Alliance

 * Location: +20
 * Location Bonus = 1
 * Tactical Advantage: +5
 * Nations: Romania (L), Bulgaria (LV), Kiev (LV), Hungary (L) 16/5=3
 * Military Development: 74+10( no defeats)+10 (Naval Dominance)+5 (Mobilized) -3 (Fewer Troops) =96/23=4
 * Romania: 20
 * Bulgaria:20
 * Kiev:20
 * Hungary:14
 * Economic Development: 72+5(larger eco) +5 (Larger Colonial Empire) =82/1=82
 * Romania: 20
 * Bulgaria:20
 * Kiev:20
 * Hungary:12
 * Expansion:
 * Infrastructure: 0
 * Motive: 8
 * Mods: -3(Mostly Non-Demo) +6(High Morale)
 * Romania:5 (Pre-emptive Strike)
 * Bulgaria:5 (Pre-emptive Strike)
 * Kiev: 7(Hegemony) +3(Economic Gains)
 * Hungary:6(Re-taking Territory)+3(Economic gains)
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +8
 * Participation: +10
 * Number of Troops: 60,000+20,000=80,000/120,000=0
 * Recent Wars:
 * Total:143

P-L-M-N Commonwealth

 * Location: +25
 * Location Bonus: 0
 * Tactical Advantage: +2
 * Nations: Poland-Lithuania (L)5/16=0
 * Military Development: 18 +5( more Troops) =23/96=0
 * Poland-Lithuania:18
 * Economic Development: 6 -3(receding econ.) -2 (Smaller econ.) =1/82=0
 * Poland-Lithuania:16-10
 * Expansion: 0
 * Infrastructure: 0
 * Motive: 4
 * Mods: -5 (low Moral)
 * Poland-Lithuania: 9 (Defending Heartland)
 * Chance:
 * Nation Age: +5
 * Population: +8
 * Number of Troops: 120,000/80,000=1
 * Recent Wars: -4
 * Total: 41

Result
((143/(143+43)*2)-1=0.5543478260869565

(0.53763)*(1-1/(2*2))=0.415760869565217375 = 41.58%

And so a giant falls...

Tell me if you want me to declare war and end Russia for good. Stephanus rex (talk) 15:36, August 6, 2014 (UTC)